Why didn't Ukraine choose NEUTRAL??? Are they STUPID?
Hello friends.
As you probably already know, from Ukraine's independence in
1991 to 2014 Ukraine has always remained neutral. However, in 2014, when a new,
more pro-Western government rose to rule the country, Russia sent troops into
the country and took away Crimea, believing that Ukraine was leaning towards
the West.
To support Ukraine, the US and Europe have passed a lot of
sanctions against Russia. However, when sanctions were issued, not only Russia
but also the US and the West suffered, not to mention the political situation
in Europe was also much more tense. That led American diplomats to think:
"Ukraine is best to keep a neutral position, then Europe will be at
peace".
For example, former US secretary of state Henry Kissinger
suggested: "Ukraine has a position equivalent to Finland, aligned with
Europe politically and economically, but avoiding institutional hostility
towards Russia".
Professor Graham Allison of Harvard University argues:
"Ukraine should, like Belgium, which has a neutral status under the London
treaty, secure its existence as an independent state."
Other leading scholars including John Mearsheimer of the
University of Chicago, Stephen Walt of Harvard and Barry Posen of MIT have
argued that "Ukrainian neutrality can stabilize security in Europe".
Most recently, Anatol Lieven of the Legal Institute wrote
that: "Ukraine's neutrality modeled on the 1955 Austrian State Treaty
removes the greatest incentive to date for Russian intervention and intimidation
Ukraine".
However, for more than 20 years, the goal of joining NATO
has become deeply ingrained in Ukraine's culture, strategy and foreign policy.
In February 2019, just two months before Zelensky was elected president, the
National Assembly wrote into the country's Constitution that "must join
NATO, any president who ascends must have the task of being a guarantor for the
country's strategic roadmap to membership in the EU and NATO. And if a
president does the opposite, it will be seen as unconstitutional."
This is a far cry from Kiev's intention to become a
permanently independent state as outlined in the 1990 Declaration of National
Sovereignty.
Thus, not comedian Zelensky but any president of Ukraine
must take measures to bring the country closer to NATO and the EU. But why is
Ukraine so determined to join NATO? The scholars analyzed and gave four reasons
as follows:
The first is that neutral doesn't work. Supporters of this
view say: "Ukraine has been neutral for more than 20 years, but in the end
it was still attacked by Russia and took Crimea in 2014". That makes them
think: "Ukraine's neutrality does not make this country safe from
Russia". Then they must enter NATO, with the protection of the largest
military alliance in the world, they will no longer have to worry about Russia.
Second, neutrality means surrendering to Russia. Supporters
of this view argue that: "Ukraine has the freedom to choose its diplomatic
path, Russia does not have the right to force it to choose this or that."
And if given the freedom to choose, Ukraine prefers the West, but Russia does
not like that, Russia demands Ukraine to be neutral. So, if Ukraine is neutral,
it means that they are listening to Russia, obeying Russia's orders, but
Ukraine doesn't like being forced, doesn't want the world to see them as a
puppet for Russia to control, so they decided to join NATO.
Third, Russia is not trustworthy. This is perhaps the most
widely supported argument, the neutral status of some European countries has
been established through treaties.
For example, for Austria, the 1955 Moscow memorandum, later
the State Treaty restoring Austria's independence, implied the express
obligation of the Soviet Union to guarantee, together with the other great
powers, the inviolability and territorial integrity of the Austrian nation.
Switzerland is similar.
Ukraine has also received security guarantees from the US, UK
and Russia based on a multilateral agreement, the 1994 Budapest Memorandum. But
in 2014, 20 years later, Russia sent troops into Ukraine in violation of the
memorandum of understanding. Russia is also obliged to respect Ukraine's
territorial integrity and the inviolability of its borders under the 1997
Russia-Ukraine Friendship Treaty, but has also violated it, so Ukraine does not
trust Russia.
And that last view is that Russia controls Ukraine's
neutrality. Those who hold this view argue that "Russia considers Ukraine
as a historical and spiritual land of Russia", Russia considers it to
belong to Russia, so Russia does not accept Ukraine's complete independence,
does not allow Ukraine free integration with Europe. As Russian President Putin
has emphasized: "True sovereignty of Ukraine is possible only in
partnership with Russia", so Russia can intervene more in Ukraine, if
Russia sees Ukraine's policies as going against its line. So even if it is
neutral, if Ukraine is still controlled, Ukraine will not be neutral.
Thus, there are many views as to why Ukraine wants and is
determined to join NATO, although neutrality provides stability for both them
and Europe, and since NATO membership has become the guiding principle
enshrined in the Constitution, Zelensky or whoever becomes president will have
to do it. What is your opinion? Support or oppose Ukraine's diplomacy? Let's
discuss together.
Thank you for watching the video, goodbye and see you again.
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