Why did Sri Lanka default on its debt of 51 billion dollars?
Angry people in Sri Lanka tried to attack the presidential
palace and were responded by police with water cannons and tear gas, social
media sites were banned and curfews were declared across the country. Before
that, thousands of people took to the streets to protest in anger as the
country fell into a state of fuel and food shortages, it can be said that Sri
Lanka's economy is in a serious crisis. More specifically, in February, Sri
Lanka's foreign currency reserves were only 2.3 billion USD, compared to
January it decreased by 70%, with a small amount of foreign currency Sri Lanka
could only import goods to meet the needs of the people within a month.
It is worth mentioning that the import demand of this
country is extremely large, even basic and essential goods such as sugar,
grains, and pharmaceuticals must be imported from abroad.
Due to low foreign currency reserves, it became increasingly
difficult and scarcer to import these things, leading to a rapid increase in
the prices of these basic commodities and a dizzying increase in inflation has
reached 25%. In the interview, a teacher in Sri Lanka said that her family used
to spend about 30,000 rupees a month or about $900, however, in February, her
family had to spend 83,000 rupees, equivalent to about $2490.
In addition, Sri Lanka also faces a serious energy shortage
because fuel is also imported from other countries, people are only allowed to
use electricity for 4 hours in a day. Power cuts were so severe, Sri Lanka's
electricity minister had to instruct officials to turn off street lights to
save electricity, petrol is similar, there are always long lines of people
waiting to buy gasoline.
So what got Sri Lanka into such a bad state? Actually, the
problem of a country is always extremely complicated with many reasons, but
below are the main reasons including:
The first is the religious crisis. Sri Lanka is a country
with a predominantly service economy, where tourism is the main economic sector
but in 2019 some citizens of this country broke their own economy.
Specifically, a terrorist group believed to be Muslim
organized bomb attacks on churches and hotels on Easter Day that killed 269
people, including 45 foreign tourists. That prompted travelers to immediately
cancel flights to Sri Lanka because they felt unsafe.
After that event, anti-Muslim riots broke out, houses,
vehicles, and property of many Muslims were vandalized. Of course, Muslims also
reacted violently, which makes Sri Lanka more unstable, more dangerous and less
attractive in the eyes of tourists. The tourism industry is ruined, Sri Lanka
loses a huge source of income, that is the first cause.
We come to the second cause, which is that Sri Lanka has
been black about religions attacking each other, even more black because of the
Covid pandemic. While tourists are few, the embargo on flights caused by Covid
makes Sri Lanka even less visitors. Without customers, without money, Covid
also attacked both the people and the economy of this country. A huge budget
continues to be poured into the fight against the epidemic, the economy has
stopped working, Sri Lanka fell into crisis, the government had to increase
foreign borrowing to spend.
The third is the mistake of the President. In 2019, Gotabaya
Rajapaksa became president, soon after, he fulfilled his campaign promises.
First, he reduced taxes. Logically, reducing taxes will make
goods cheaper, make people spend more, stimulate the economy to develop more.
But this logic is not always true because Sri Lanka reduced taxes at the time
of Covid raging, people locked at home could not go to buy goods no matter how
cheap the price. Therefore, tax reduction becomes meaningless, not only that,
but it also has the opposite effect, that is, the Government has a large budget
deficit from taxes.
Next, the President also promised to turn Sri Lanka into an
organic industrial country, away from chemical fertilizers and pesticides.
Although it benefits the environment and people's health, it should have been
done gradually, just for one night, the President ordered a nationwide ban on
the import of chemical fertilizers and pesticides. A sudden change made not
only the people but also the plants stunned, that year's crop yield was reduced
by 30%.
Sri Lanka from a self-sufficient country in rice now has to
import. In just six months, the Government had to spend 450 million USD to
import rice. Tea is similar, it used to bring a lot of foreign currency to Sri
Lanka but after the ban it also lost productivity and the tea industry was
destroyed.
And the fourth cause is China, it is said that China is
using debt trap diplomacy. China is a major creditor to Sri Lanka, China has
given Sri Lanka a loan to build Hambantota international port at a cost of 1.3
billion USD, but this port has suffered a great loss that makes Sri Lanka
unable to pay its debt. To settle the debt, Sri Lanka sold an 80% stake to a
Chinese company, in return Sri Lanka received $1.2 billion in foreign currency,
which made confidence in the government's management decrease.
With the above four reasons, the value of the Sri Lankan
rupee has dropped rapidly. In March, 1 dollar for 200 rupees, now the
conversion rate has dropped to 1 dollar for 330 rupees. Money falls, imports
become more expensive, which causes even more inflation and money depreciation.
Economic crisis, all 26 ministers in the Government of Sri Lanka have submitted
their resignation.
In the end, the Sri Lankan economy was unable to pay its debts and declared default on $51 billion in debt. What happens if a country defaults on its debt? Please review the video of Interesting Knowledge. Thank you for watching the video, goodbye and see you again.
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